Inflation

Weekly Market Update – How do you walk the central banks' talk?
Government bonds could have paused for breath after their sharp November rally on market expectations of rate cuts early in...

Talking Heads – New realities for investors in 2024
In this episode of our Talking Heads podcast, Andrew Craig, Co-head of the Investment Insight Centre, and Daniel Morris, Chief...

Weekly Market Update – Immaculate disinflation?
Data published this week in the US and eurozone suggests inflation may now be on a steady, downward glide path....

Weekly Market Update – Policy shift: are we there yet?
The pace of inflation in developed markets has slowed, while China’s economic weakness appears to have hit a ‘pain point’...

Investment Outlook 2024 – Stepping into a new reality
In 2024, the fuel that drove economic activity in 2023 will start running low. In the US, excess savings will...

MARKET UPDATE 16.11.2023
Weekly Market Update – A week reinforcing hopes for a soft landing
US macroeconomic data this week fed hopes of a soft landing for the US economy. Most importantly, US consumer price...

MARKET UPDATE 09.11.2023
Weekly Market Update – Slowdown in sight
The hard times equities and bonds went through in October now seem forgotten. November has had a strong start. What...

MARKET UPDATE 02.11.2023
Weekly Market Update – Bond yields dip, a change in the yo-yo pattern?
Volatility remains high in US Treasury bond markets following the surge in yields since July. Having only recently breached the...

MARKET UPDATE 19.10.2023
Weekly Market Update – Too strong US data drives rates higher
Ten-year US Treasury bond yields are approaching 5%, surpassing the level reached earlier in October before the outbreak of conflict...

Fixed Income Outlook – Slowdown ahead
US Treasury yields have now reached levels that we believe offer attractive value given that the Federal Open Market Committee...

Chart of the Week - Have US bond yields overshot to the upside?
Perhaps the most striking (and surprising) development in the third quarter of 2023 was a significant rise in US real...

MARKET UPDATE 12.10.2023
Weekly Market Update – It’s tough to see where things are heading
Stronger-than-expected job creation in the US, renewed doubts about inflation, the start of the earnings season, and geopolitical fallout from...